“Akademia e Shkencave thot\u00eb se, Shqip\u00ebria ka pasur nj\u00eb p\u00ebrhapje t\u00eb moderuar t\u00eb COVID-19 dhe parashikon se p\u00ebrhapja e virusit do t\u00eb arrij\u00eb pikun brenda dy jav\u00ebve dhe m\u00eb pas kurba e t\u00eb infektuarve do t\u00eb vij\u00eb duke u ulur.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebrve\u00e7 r\u00ebnies s\u00eb ritmit t\u00eb rasteve t\u00eb reja, ASH n\u00ebnvizon se n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri ka nj\u00eb rit\u00ebm t\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb sh\u00ebrimeve, me 29%, gati sa niveli i Gjermanis\u00eb dhe Danimark\u00ebs q\u00eb jan\u00eb n\u00eb nivelin 28-31%”.<\/p>\n
K\u00ebshtu do t\u00eb shprehej dje Akademia e Shkencave t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, e cila p\u00ebrmes nj\u00eb deklarat\u00eb publike na tregoi se si po ec\u00ebn pandemia e Koronavirusit n\u00eb vend dhe kur pritet piku i tij,
\nPor k\u00ebsaj deklarate i p\u00ebrgjigjet akademiku Artan Fuga.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebrmes nj\u00eb reagimi t\u00eb gjat\u00eb dhe t\u00eb thelluar n\u00eb Facebook, profesori i Universitetit t\u00eb Tiran\u00ebs dhe an\u00ebtari i Akademis\u00eb n\u00eb fjal\u00eb shprehet nd\u00ebr t\u00eb tjera se, distancohet nga deklaratat e ASH duke dh\u00ebn\u00eb edhe arsyet e tij.<\/p>\n
Reagimi i plot\u00eb:<\/p>\n
Artan Fuga<\/p>\n
Profesor i Universitetit t\u00eb Tiran\u00ebs
\nAn\u00ebtar i Akademis\u00eb t\u00eb Shkencave
\nK\u00ebrkues shkencor i asociuar n\u00eb Qendr\u00ebn Komb\u00ebtare e K\u00ebrkimit Shkencor \u2013 Franc\u00eb
\nPedagog i jasht\u00ebm i l\u00ebnd\u00ebs Menaxhimi i Informacionit p\u00ebr Sip\u00ebrmarrjet \u2013 IPAG (Paris)
\nAn\u00ebtar i Senatit t\u00eb Universitetit t\u00eb Tiran\u00ebs<\/p>\n
P\u00ebrse distancohem nga t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat mbi pandemin\u00eb covid19 dhe prediktimet e Akademis\u00eb t\u00eb Shkencave ?<\/p>\n
Deklarat\u00eb p\u00ebr mediat<\/p>\n
05.04.2020<\/p>\n
Dje m\u00eb dat\u00ebn 4 prill 2020 Akademia e Shkencave e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb botoi n\u00eb disa media nj\u00eb deklarat\u00eb kur nd\u00ebr t\u00eb tjera jepeshin disa t\u00eb dh\u00ebna statistikore p\u00ebr p\u00ebrhapjen e epidemis\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00eb t\u00eb Covid19 n\u00eb vendin ton\u00eb, b\u00ebheshin prediktime p\u00ebr ecurin\u00eb e epidemis\u00eb, si edhe thirrje qytetar\u00ebve p\u00ebr t\u00eb zbatuar masat e k\u00ebrkuara, etj.<\/p>\n
Kjo deklarat\u00eb m\u00eb p\u00ebrfshin edhe mua si an\u00ebtar i atij institucioni dhe m\u00eb detyron t\u00eb shprehem publikisht rreth saj. Aq m\u00eb tep\u00ebr sepse deklarata n\u00eb fjal\u00eb as \u00ebsht\u00eb konsultuar, as \u00ebsht\u00eb diskutuar dhe as \u00ebsht\u00eb aprovuar n\u00eb asamblen\u00eb e Akademis\u00eb t\u00eb Shkencave qoft\u00eb edhe n\u00eb form\u00eb elektronike.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb gjykimin tim n\u00eb deklarat\u00ebn e Akademis\u00eb t\u00eb Shkencave ka m\u00eb s\u00eb pari probleme shum\u00eb serioze dhe t\u00eb papranueshme p\u00ebr mua n\u00eb planin shkencor t\u00eb metodologjis\u00eb dhe epistemologjis\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebrkimit statistikor.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb deklarat\u00eb sikurse thuhet pretendohet t\u00eb matet shkalla e rritjes t\u00eb p\u00ebrhapjes t\u00eb epidemis\u00eb pra \u201cp\u00ebrhapja e pandemis\u00eb\u201d. Bashk\u00ebshoq\u00ebruar jepet edhe nj\u00eb shif\u00ebr n\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje dal\u00eb mbi baz\u00ebn e nj\u00eb p\u00ebrllogaritjeje shum\u00eb t\u00eb thjesht\u00eb t\u00eb rezultatit t\u00eb nj\u00eb thyese shum\u00ebzuar me 100.<\/p>\n
K\u00ebtu ngat\u00ebrrohen dy gj\u00ebra krejt t\u00eb ndryshme me njera tjetr\u00ebn, t\u00eb cilat nj\u00eb statisticien serioz, pa ndonj\u00eb specializim t\u00eb ve\u00e7ant\u00eb n\u00eb fush\u00eb, nuk e b\u00ebn. Akademia e Shkencave p\u00ebrdor shifrat zyrtare t\u00eb institucioneve t\u00eb specializuara, por ato n\u00eb asnj\u00eb rast nuk kan\u00eb th\u00ebn\u00eb se numri i t\u00eb ekzaminuarve me coronavirus \u00ebsht\u00eb i barabart\u00eb m\u00eb numrin e t\u00eb infektuarit real\u00eb. Dhe kan\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb drejt\u00eb p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb. Kurse Akademia e Shkencave n\u00eb deklarat\u00ebn e saj ngat\u00ebrron dukurin\u00eb reale me rezultatin e matjes t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj dukurie. T\u00eb infektuarit e dedektuar nga sistemi sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsor i barazon me t\u00eb infektuarit real\u00eb. N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb jep shifrat q\u00eb pretendojn\u00eb t\u00eb tregojn\u00eb shkall\u00ebn e p\u00ebrhapjes reale t\u00eb epidemis\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00eb, nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb ato shifra q\u00eb ka huazuar nuk masin ve\u00e7se shkall\u00ebn e matjes t\u00eb p\u00ebrhapjes t\u00eb epidemis\u00eb. Jo p\u00ebrhapjen e epidemis\u00eb n\u00eb realitet. Ngat\u00ebrrohet fenomeni real me rezultatin e matjes t\u00eb fenomenit q\u00eb sigurisht \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb i p\u00ebrhapur. Un\u00eb nuk p\u00ebrfshihem n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb formulim q\u00eb shtremb\u00ebron t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat dhe ngarkon moralisht \u00e7dok\u00ebnd n\u00eb k\u00ebto koh\u00eb kaq delikate.<\/p>\n
Po ashtu, n\u00eb at\u00eb deklarat\u00eb jepen edhe shifra n\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje q\u00eb sipas saj masin \u201critmin e t\u00eb sh\u00ebruarve nga t\u00eb infektuarit gjithsejt\u201d.<\/p>\n
Edhe ky \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb pretendim q\u00eb as organet zyrtare t\u00eb specializuara nuk e kan\u00eb pretenduar ta din\u00eb. Mund ta dish k\u00ebt\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje t\u00eb t\u00eb sh\u00ebruarve vet\u00ebm n\u00ebse di numrin gjithsejt t\u00eb t\u00eb infektuarve real\u00eb. Por edhe k\u00ebt\u00eb numur real faktik askush nuk pretendon se e njeh. Sepse ka t\u00eb s\u00ebmur\u00eb q\u00eb nuk shprehin asnj\u00eb simptom\u00eb dhe iluzivisht e quajn\u00eb veten t\u00eb painfektuar, ka q\u00eb kan\u00eb simptoma t\u00eb lehta dhe nuk manifestohen n\u00eb telefonata, shp\u00ebrndarja e testeve t\u00eb depistimit \u00ebsht\u00eb e till\u00eb q\u00eb nuk mund t\u00eb japi kurrszesi numrin real t\u00eb t\u00eb infektuarve gjithsejt, sikurse ka edhe individ\u00eb q\u00eb nuk telefonojn\u00eb fare n\u00eb \u00e7do rast p\u00ebr t\u2019u evidencuar. Nuk ka nevoj\u00eb t\u00eb kesh njohuri t\u00eb thella matematikore p\u00ebr t\u00eb ditur se thyesa q\u00eb pjeston numrin e t\u00eb sh\u00ebruarve mbi numrin e t\u00eb infektuarve gjithsejt nuk mund t\u00eb japi asnj\u00eb rezultat n\u00eb realitet sa koh\u00eb as numuruesi dhe as em\u00ebruesi i saj nuk shprehin madh\u00ebsi numerike reale.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb gjykimin tim duke nd\u00ebrmarr\u00eb k\u00ebto p\u00ebrllogaritje, q\u00eb pretendojn\u00eb t\u00eb ken\u00eb p\u00ebrmas\u00eb shkencore, Akademia e Shkencave edhe nj\u00eb her\u00eb tjet\u00ebr ka treguar se pozicionohet keq dhe gabim n\u00eb misionin e saj t\u00eb p\u00ebrcaktuar me ligj.<\/p>\n
E them k\u00ebt\u00eb sepse ato p\u00ebrllogaritje t\u00eb thjeshta p\u00ebrqindjesh i b\u00ebn \u00e7do nx\u00ebn\u00ebs q\u00eb ka njohur tashm\u00eb tabel\u00ebn e pjestimit dhe t\u00eb shum\u00ebzimi. I kan\u00eb medoemos edhe t\u00eb gjitha organet zyrtare ne fush\u00ebn e sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsis\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Akademia e Shkencave do t\u00eb justifikohej n\u00eb at\u00eb p\u00ebr\u00e7apje q\u00eb deklaron n\u00ebse do t\u00eb mblidhte n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb autonome t\u00eb dh\u00ebna t\u00eb pavarura sasiore duke krijuar bazat e saj t\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave.<\/p>\n
Duke i krahasuar pastaj ato me t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat zyrtare. Ose n\u00ebse do t\u00eb p\u00ebrpunonte procedura mat\u00ebse shum\u00eb t\u00eb specializuara, alternative, q\u00eb do t\u00eb jepnin rezultate t\u00eb pavarura p\u00ebr p\u00ebrhapjen e pandemis\u00eb, shkall\u00ebn e t\u00eb sh\u00ebruarve, shkall\u00ebn e vdekjeve etj.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb Akademia e Shkencave do t\u00eb jepte nj\u00eb kontribut real n\u00ebse do t\u00eb krijonte pik\u00ebrisht k\u00ebto baza t\u00eb dh\u00ebnash autonome si teste kontrolli t\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave zyrtare. Jo vet\u00ebm nuk e b\u00ebn k\u00ebt\u00eb, jo vet\u00ebm p\u00ebrdor t\u00eb dh\u00ebna q\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb te sajat, por edhe ngat\u00ebrron epistemologjin\u00eb e procedimit statistikor duke ngat\u00ebrruar n\u00eb disa raste dukurin\u00eb q\u00eb matet me matjen e dukuris\u00eb. Merr si reale, t\u00eb dh\u00ebna q\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb ve\u00e7se rezultate t\u00eb prodhuara nga procedurat e mat\u00ebsit. Ngat\u00ebrron objektin e matur me rezultatet e matjes t\u00eb objektit. K\u00ebtu gabimi epistemologjik \u00ebsht\u00eb ulurit\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
Nuk dua t\u00eb ndaloj n\u00eb at\u00eb q\u00eb Akademia e Shkencave pretendon se di q\u00eb po kryhen veprime p\u00ebr prodhimin e vaksin\u00ebs kund\u00ebr covid19, pa dh\u00ebn\u00eb burimet e k\u00ebtij informacioni!!!!<\/p>\n
Por, nuk di se n\u00eb \u00e7far\u00eb m\u00ebnyre dhe n\u00eb \u00e7far\u00eb mase ajo pretendon q\u00eb nj\u00ebsit\u00eb shkencore q\u00eb ka krijuar n\u00eb nanoteknologji jan\u00eb angazhuar n\u00eb k\u00ebto p\u00ebrllogaritje t\u00eb thjeshta t\u00eb dala nga t\u00eb dh\u00ebna t\u00eb marra tashm\u00eb nga dor\u00eb e dyt\u00eb, \u00e7ka k\u00ebrkon testim dhe verifikim aq t\u00eb domosdosh\u00ebm nga ana shkencore. Nj\u00eb tabel\u00eb e thjesht\u00eb llogarit\u00ebse do t\u00eb mjaftonte. Ose edhe nj\u00eb telefon celular.<\/p>\n
Por, di me siguri q\u00eb ai q\u00eb quhet komision i ekonomis\u00eb, drejt\u00ebsis\u00eb, etj, ku edhe un\u00eb jam integruar, nuk ka kryer deri m\u00eb tash asnj\u00eb studim lidhur me \u00e7far\u00eb pretendohet n\u00eb deklarat\u00ebn e Akademis\u00eb t\u00eb Shkencave. Pretendimi i saj n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb pik\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb i pav\u00ebrtet\u00eb. Dhe nuk ka b\u00ebr\u00eb sepse nuk mund t\u2019a b\u00ebj\u00eb nga m\u00ebnyra sesi jan\u00eb organizuar ato komisione dhe nj\u00ebsi studimi.<\/p>\n
Mbi t\u00eb gjitha, Deklarata e Akademis\u00eb t\u00eb Shkencave pretendon t\u00eb gjej\u00eb edhe se kur do t\u00eb arrihet piku dhe kur do t\u00eb nisi r\u00ebnia e epidemis\u00eb!!!<\/p>\n
Pa dh\u00ebn\u00eb asnj\u00eb argument shkencor, \u00e7ka \u00ebsht\u00eb pjes\u00eb e etik\u00ebs minimale t\u00eb shkenc\u00ebs. K\u00ebto orvajtje t\u00eb pabazuara kur epidemia po shkakton marrje jete n\u00eb vend dhe n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb bot\u00ebn jan\u00eb me rrezikshm\u00ebri shoq\u00ebrore dhe ngarkojn\u00eb me p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebsi etike. Un\u00eb nuk pranoj t\u00eb jem pjes\u00eb e tyre. Esht\u00eb detyra e deklaruesve tani t\u00eb na i provojn\u00eb prediktimet e tyre!<\/p>\n
Nisur prej k\u00ebtyre rezervave shkencore serioze, etike, si edhe e faktit se Akademia e Shkencave nuk t\u00eb pyet edhe kur deklarohet gjoja n\u00eb emrin e akademik\u00ebv,e distancohem publikisht nga ajo deklarat\u00eb e saj duke qendruar aktiv q\u00eb mesa mundem t\u00eb kontribuoj n\u00eb p\u00ebrballimin e pandemis\u00eb si qytetar, pedagog dhe k\u00ebrkues shkencor.<\/p>\n
Si edhe qendroj aktiv p\u00ebr t\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb q\u00eb komuniteti shkencor t\u00eb japi kontributet q\u00eb duhen n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kauz\u00eb, larg deklaratave, propagand\u00ebs dhe qendrimeve t\u00eb padobishme.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
“Akademia e Shkencave thot\u00eb se, Shqip\u00ebria ka pasur nj\u00eb p\u00ebrhapje t\u00eb moderuar t\u00eb COVID-19 dhe parashikon se p\u00ebrhapja e virusit do t\u00eb arrij\u00eb pikun brenda dy jav\u00ebve dhe m\u00eb pas kurba e t\u00eb infektuarve do t\u00eb vij\u00eb duke u ulur. P\u00ebrve\u00e7 r\u00ebnies s\u00eb ritmit t\u00eb rasteve t\u00eb reja, ASH n\u00ebnvizon se n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri ka nj\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2013,"featured_media":124373,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[198,241,297,235],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-124371","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-360-grade","8":"category-aktualitet","9":"category-eskluzive","10":"category-vendi"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/124371","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2013"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=124371"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/124371\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/124373"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=124371"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=124371"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=124371"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}