{"id":146504,"date":"2020-09-28T09:00:16","date_gmt":"2020-09-28T07:00:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/?p=146504"},"modified":"2020-09-28T09:00:16","modified_gmt":"2020-09-28T07:00:16","slug":"tkurrja-e-popullsise-ajo-po-tkurret-me-ritme-shume-te-shpejta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/tkurrja-e-popullsise-ajo-po-tkurret-me-ritme-shume-te-shpejta\/","title":{"rendered":"Tkurrja e popullsis\u00eb\/ Ajo po tkurret me ritme shum\u00eb t\u00eb shpejta&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"entry-content entry clearfix\">\n<p>Popullsia e vendit po tkurret me ritme me t\u00eb shpejta se sa parashikimet pesimiste t\u00eb INSTAT n\u00eb projeksionet p\u00ebr popullsin\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Nj\u00eb vit m\u00eb par\u00eb INSTAT publikoi projeksione t\u00eb reja p\u00ebr ecurin\u00eb e popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb vendit deri n\u00eb vitin 2032 dhe parashikoi se n\u00eb vitin 2020 do t\u00eb ishte sipas skenarit pesimist 2,862,427 banor\u00eb, por sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave vjetore nga regjistrat e gjendjes civile popullsia e vendit n\u00eb janar t\u00eb vitit 2020 ishte 2,852,191 banor\u00eb ose 8,200 persona m\u00eb pak se projeksioni me pesimist i INSTAT.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00eb realitet situata me numrin e popullsis\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb edhe me problematike p\u00ebr shkak se, nj\u00eb num\u00ebr i madh personash kan\u00eb emigruar, teksa rezultojn\u00eb si rezident\u00eb. Rezultatet e v\u00ebrteta t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb banuese n\u00eb vend do t\u00eb dalin nga censusi i popullsis\u00eb dhe banesave, i cili ishte programuar p\u00ebr tu realizuar k\u00ebt\u00eb vit, por \u00ebsht\u00eb shtyr\u00eb p\u00ebr vitin tjet\u00ebr p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb pandemis\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00eb vitin 2011 n\u00eb censin e fundit rezultoi se popullsia banuese n\u00eb vend ishte 11% m\u00eb e ul\u00ebt se ajo e raportuar.<\/p>\n<p>Statistika jo reale e popullsis\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb shkak, nd\u00ebr t\u00eb tjera edhe p\u00ebr shtremb\u00ebrime n\u00eb statistika t\u00eb tjera ekonomike dhe demografike. Prevalencat n\u00eb lidhje me popullsin\u00eb p\u00ebr disa tregues nuk jan\u00eb t\u00eb sakt\u00eb p\u00ebrderisa se statistika themelore (popullsia) nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb reale.<\/p>\n<p>Vitet e fundit popullsia e vendit \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00ebn k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimit t\u00eb faktor\u00ebve madhor\u00eb q\u00eb ndikojn\u00eb r\u00ebnien t\u00eb tilla si emigracioni i lart\u00eb dhe r\u00ebnia e lindjeve me ritme t\u00eb shpejta.<\/p>\n<p>Sipas projeksionit pesimist t\u00eb INSTAT, Popullsia e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2031, llogaritet t\u00eb jet\u00eb rreth 2,5 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa sipas skenarit normal 2,7 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Nd\u00ebrsa Organizata e Kombeve t\u00eb Bashkuara (OKB), n\u00eb projeksionet e saj p\u00ebr popullsin\u00eb shqiptare ka rishikuar n\u00eb ulje me 30-40% pritshm\u00ebrit\u00eb se sa persona do t\u00eb mbeten n\u00eb nj\u00eb vend deri n\u00eb vitin 2100.<\/p>\n<p>Zhvler\u00ebsimi i ndjesh\u00ebm ka ardhur brenda nj\u00eb viti (2019 kundrejt 2018) dhe \u00ebsht\u00eb nxitur si nga r\u00ebnia e norm\u00ebs s\u00eb lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb, ashtu dhe nga trendi i lart\u00eb i emigracionit.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00eb parashikimet e publikuara n\u00eb vitin 2018, sipas variantit t\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb parashikimit (me norm\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb fertiliteti), popullsia e vendit n\u00eb vitin 2100 pritej t\u00eb mbetej n\u00eb rreth 2.8 milion\u00eb persona, n\u00eb nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie t\u00eb leht\u00eb nga niveli aktual prej 2.87 milion\u00eb banor\u00ebsh. Por, vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb vit m\u00eb pas, n\u00eb 2019-n, pritshm\u00ebria \u00ebsht\u00eb ulur ndjesh\u00ebm edhe p\u00ebr variantin optimist. N\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha rastet, edhe n\u00eb variantin optimist, \u2013 pra n\u00ebse merret nj\u00eb nivel zero emigracioni dhe ecuri normale e normave t\u00eb fertilitetit-, n\u00eb vitin 2100, Shqip\u00ebria nuk pritet q\u00eb t\u00eb ket\u00eb me shum\u00eb se 1.9 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb, ose 31% m\u00eb pak se parashikimi i nj\u00eb viti m\u00eb par\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00eb variantin e mes\u00ebm, Shqip\u00ebria nuk pritet t\u00eb ket\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 1 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb, nga 1.6 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb q\u00eb ishte parashikimi n\u00eb vitin 2018 p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb skenar, me nj\u00eb ulje prej rreth 34%.<\/p>\n<p>Rishikimi m\u00eb i lart\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb p\u00ebr skenarin e ul\u00ebt (norm\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb emigracionit dhe fertilitet t\u00eb ul\u00ebt), n\u00eb baz\u00eb t\u00eb s\u00eb cilin, n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri n\u00eb vitin 2100, sipas pritshm\u00ebrive t\u00eb departamentit t\u00eb Divizionit t\u00eb Popullsis\u00eb t\u00eb OKB-s\u00eb, n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri nuk pritet q\u00eb t\u00eb mbeten m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 512 mij\u00eb banor\u00eb.\/Monitor<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-1016405 visible\" src=\"https:\/\/www.faxweb.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/pop-768x386-640x322-600x302.jpg\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.faxweb.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/pop-768x386-640x322-600x302.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.faxweb.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/pop-768x386-640x322.jpg 640w\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"302\" \/><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Popullsia e vendit po tkurret me ritme me t\u00eb shpejta se sa parashikimet pesimiste t\u00eb INSTAT n\u00eb projeksionet p\u00ebr popullsin\u00eb. Nj\u00eb vit m\u00eb par\u00eb INSTAT publikoi projeksione t\u00eb reja p\u00ebr ecurin\u00eb e popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb vendit deri n\u00eb vitin 2032 dhe parashikoi se n\u00eb vitin 2020 do t\u00eb ishte sipas skenarit pesimist 2,862,427 banor\u00eb, por sipas [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2016,"featured_media":146505,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[241],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-146504","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-aktualitet"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/146504","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2016"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=146504"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/146504\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/146505"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=146504"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=146504"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=146504"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}