Infinite Monkey Theorem (Teorema e majmunit t\u00eb pafund) \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb teori n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e matematik\u00ebs s\u00eb probabilitetit. Kjo teori parashtron nj\u00eb skenar t\u00eb till\u00eb t\u00eb probabilitetit: n\u00ebs\u00eb nj\u00eb majmun godet tastier\u00ebn e nj\u00eb kompjuteri p\u00ebr nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb t\u00eb pafund kohe, pothuajse me siguri do t\u00eb shkruaj\u00eb nj\u00eb tekst t\u00eb caktuar, sic jan\u00eb p\u00ebr shembull veprat e plota t\u00eb William Shakespeare. <\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, probabiliteti q\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb majmun\u00ebt e globit, n\u00eb nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb kohore t\u00eb pa fundme, t\u00eb shkruanin n\u00eb nj\u00eb sekuenc\u00eb t\u00eb till\u00eb sa t\u00eb mund t\u00eb shkruanin tekstualisht Hamletin e Shekspirit, \u00ebsht\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonisht e ul\u00ebt, por teknikisht jo zero.<\/p>\n
Kjo teorem\u00eb mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsohet p\u00ebr t\u00eb deklaruar se \u00e7do sekuenc\u00eb ngjarjesh q\u00eb ka nj\u00eb probabilitet jo zero p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndodhur, me siguri q\u00eb do t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb dikur, n\u00eb cfar\u00ebdo t\u00eb ardhme. <\/p>\n
Si\u00eb duket, kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb edhe teoria q\u00eb ka adoptuar Lulzim Basha dhe njer\u00ebzit af\u00ebr tij. Pra n\u00ebse Basha dhe kryesia e tij, (n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb figurative), t\u00eb rrijn\u00eb duke shtypur n\u00eb tastier\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb t\u00eb pafund do t\u00eb arrijn\u00eb t\u00eb shkruajn\u00eb \u2018Hamletin\u201d, apo edhe \u2018Lahut\u00ebn e Mal\u00ebsis\u00eb\u201d. Qasja e tyre \u00ebsht\u00eb q\u00eb perderisa probabiliteti q\u00eb PD t\u00eb vij\u00eb n\u00eb pushtet \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb e madhe se zero, ata jan\u00eb n\u00eb rrug\u00ebn e drejt\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Q\u00ebndrimi i t\u00eb gjith\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00ebve, q\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb dakort me t\u00eb, \u00ebsht\u00eb q\u00eb Partia Demokratike \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb kriz\u00eb lidershipi. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb e ver\u00ebt\u00eb, por vet\u00ebm gjysma e t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00ebs. Kriza momentale e lidershipit n\u00eb fakt, \u00ebsht\u00eb e keqja m\u00eb e vog\u00ebl. Partia Demokratike \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb kriz\u00eb tj\u00ebt\u00ebr, shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe. Ajo \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb kriz\u00eb identiteti.<\/p>\n
Sali Berisha ka nisur nj\u00eb ofensive t\u00eb fort\u00eb politike, q\u00eb shumica e shqiptar\u00ebve e shikojn\u00eb si nj\u00eb aksion politik p\u00ebr t\u00eb zgjidhur pik\u00ebrisht kriz\u00ebn e lidershipit. Edhe kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb gjys\u00ebm e v\u00ebrt\u00ebtet\u00eb. Po t\u00eb d\u00ebgjosh m\u00eb v\u00ebmendje diskursin e tij politik n\u00eb secili\u00ebn prej \u2018Foltores\u201d s\u00eb tij, v\u00ebren se ai ka kapur thelbin e problemit. Operacioni i Berish\u00ebs n\u00eb fakt shkon shum\u00eb larg. Zgjidhja e kriz\u00ebs s\u00eb lidershipit \u00ebsht\u00eb vet\u00ebm hapi i par\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Hapi i dyt\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb zgjidhja e kriz\u00ebs s\u00eb identitetit. K\u00ebt\u00eb, si\u00e7 duket ai po pregatitur ta b\u00ebj\u00eb duke ri themeluar Partin\u00eb Demokratike. Termi m\u00eb i sakt\u00eb do t\u00eb ishte \u2018ri-shpikja-ose reinventing\u2019 . Ri-shpikja n\u00ebnkupton ndryshimin apo tranformimin e di\u00e7kaje aq shum\u00eb sa t\u00eb duket si di\u00e7ka e re. Dhe me t\u00eb drejt\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Partia Demokratike u themelua tridhjet\u00eb vjet m\u00eb par\u00eb, si partia e par\u00eb anti-komuniste n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri. Megjith\u00ebse, e themeluar si nj\u00eb parti klasike, Partia Demokratike m\u00eb shum\u00eb u krijua si nj\u00eb l\u00ebvizje, p\u00ebr t\u00eb shembur nj\u00eb sistem t\u00eb vjet\u00ebr, dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb nd\u00ebrtuar nj\u00eb t\u00eb ri mbi t\u00eb. Po ashtu, Partia Demokratike e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb nga dy partit\u00eb (partia tjet\u00ebr \u00ebsht\u00eb Partia Fidesz n\u00eb Hungari) anti-komuniste t\u00eb themeluara me shembjen e sistemit komunist n\u00eb Europ\u00ebn Lindore dhe Ish-Bashkimin Sovjetik q\u00eb i ka mbijetuar koh\u00ebs. T\u00eb gjitha t\u00eb tjerat jan\u00eb shuar. Dhe kjo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb pak.<\/p>\n
Por, sot, tridhjet\u00eb vjet m\u00eb von\u00eb, ajo gjendet para alternativ\u00ebs s\u00eb shuarjes graduale, apo riformimit. Nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb vet\u00ebm konteksti lokoal, por edhe ai nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar, q\u00eb e b\u00ebn jetike nj\u00eb reformim t\u00eb till\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Sot bota ka ndryshuar. Nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb ajo e viteve \u201990. Partit\u00eb tradicionale n\u00eb bot\u00ebn demokratike jan\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb process transformimi t\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonsh\u00ebm. Modeli i vjet\u00ebr ka r\u00ebn\u00eb. Fija e holl\u00eb e ndarjes ideologjike midis partive klasike konservarore dhe liberale tashm\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb shnd\u00ebrruar n\u00eb nj\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00eb e madhe. Vet\u00eb Francis Fukuyama, ideolog dhe shkenc\u00ebtar politik amerikan, autori i librit bestseller \u2018The End of History and the Last Man -1992 (Fundi i Hostoris\u00eb, dhe Njeriu i Fundit) tashm\u00eb e pranon se parashikimi i tij tre dekada m\u00eb par\u00eb ka rezultuar gabim. At\u00ebbot\u00eb, ai pati parashikuar se me fitoren e demokracis\u00eb liberale perndimore (pas r\u00ebnies s\u00eb komunizmit), njerzimi ka arritur jo vet\u00ebm kalimin e nj\u00eb periudhe t\u00eb historis\u00eb post-luft\u00ebs s\u00eb dyt\u00eb bot\u00ebrore, por vet fundin e historis\u00eb, si e tille: q\u00eb do t\u00eb thot\u00eb, pik\u00ebn fundore t\u00eb evolucionit ideologjik t\u00eb njer\u00ebzimit, dhe universalizimin e demkoracis\u00eb liverale perendimore, si forma finale e qeverisjes\u201d.<\/p>\n
Dhe, si cdo gje tjet\u00ebr, gjithcka nis n\u00eb ShBA. Sot, SHBA-t\u00eb ndodhen n\u00eb mes t\u00eb nj\u00eb procesi deri diku t\u00eb dhunsh\u00ebm t\u00eb riformatimit t\u00eb shoq\u00ebris\u00eb, ideologjis\u00eb dhe partive politike. Nd\u00ebrkohe q\u00eb Partia Demokratike rreshqet drejt nj\u00eb majtizmi ekstrem, Partia Republikane po ashtu po ripozicionohet drejt nj\u00eb konservatorizmi t\u00eb theksuar. Ndarja ideologjike jo vet\u00ebm q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb e madhja q\u00eb nga themelimi i partive politke, porse sot ka filluar t\u00eb p\u00ebrshkruhet si \u2018procesi i krijimit t\u00eb dy amerikave, e ngjashme me skizm\u00ebn e madhe midis Perandoris\u00eb Romake t\u00eb Per\u00ebndimit me at\u00eb t\u00eb Lindjes\u201d. Ky process transformimi ka filluar t\u00eb z\u00ebr\u00eb vend edhe n\u00eb Europ\u00eb, t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn q\u00eb nga viti 2016 e k\u00ebtej.<\/p>\n
Ky \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb kontekst nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar, q\u00eb heret a von\u00eb do t\u00eb prek\u00eb edhe Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb. Partia Demokratike, duke qen\u00eb aksidentalisht (p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb lidershipit aktual) dhe jo, n\u00eb kriz\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb ekzistenc\u00ebs s\u00eb vet, ndodhet gjithashtu p\u00ebrpara nj\u00eb mund\u00ebsie, e cila n\u00ebse shryt\u00ebzohet me mencuri, fare mir\u00eb do t\u00eb b\u00ebnt\u00eb t\u00eb mudur hedhjen e themeleve t\u00eb nj\u00eb partie moderne p\u00ebr tridhjet\u00eb vitet e ardh\u00ebshme.<\/p>\n
Dhe ja pse.<\/p>\n
Dialektika njer\u00ebzore parasheh q\u00eb aty ku ka kriz\u00eb ka edhe mund\u00ebsi. Jo vet\u00ebm kaq, por Partia Demokratike rast\u00ebsisht ose jo, ndodhet n\u00eb pozit\u00ebn t\u00eb avantazhit konkurues ndaj Partis\u00eb Socialiste. S\u00eb pari sepse Partia Demokratike tashm\u00eb ka hyr\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb proces reformimi t\u00eb thell\u00eb, dhe Partia Socialiste jo. S\u00eb dyti, ajo \u00ebsht\u00eb futur n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb process p\u00ebrpara kund\u00ebrshtarit t\u00eb saj. Dhe s\u00eb treti, sepse Partia Socialiste nuk mund t\u00eb futet n\u00eb nj\u00eb process t\u00eb till\u00eb reformimi t\u00eb thell\u00eb. Ajo sot \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb parti i nj\u00eb idividi dhe e ashkusheve. Nj\u00eb parti ku p\u00ebrzihen autoritarizimi Stalinist i kryetarit t\u00eb saj, me organizatat kriminale dhe korrupsionin. Gjasat q\u00eb Partia Socialiste t\u00eb reformohet n\u00eb nj\u00eb parti t\u00eb majt\u00eb liberale t\u00eb stilit perendimor jan\u00eb t\u00eb barabarta me gjasat e reformimit apo ardhjes n\u00eb pushtet t\u00eb Partis\u00eb Demokratike me Lulzim Bash\u00ebn n\u00eb krye.<\/p>\n
Hartimi i Statutit t\u00eb ri nga zoti Berisha, synon hedhjen e themeleve t\u00eb rithemelimit t\u00eb Partis\u00eb demokratike mbi baza ideologjike konservatore, duke patur si kolona kryesore familjen, kombin, besimin n\u00eb zot, pron\u00ebn, referendumin si forma m\u00eb e lart\u00eb e demokracis\u00eb direkte, nj\u00eb form\u00eb bashk\u00ebkohore e Reganizmit ekonomik, nj\u00eb qeveri e vogel, sistem taksimi q\u00eb nxit zhvillmin ekonomik, investimet publike, dhe sigurisht, rikthim tek grupet e saj t\u00eb interesit, vecan\u00ebrisht, ish-t\u00eb p\u00ebrndjekurit, pronar\u00ebve t\u00eb shpron\u00ebsuar nga regjimi komunist, dhe biznesi i vog\u00ebl dhe i mes\u00ebm. <\/p>\n
Statuti dhe lidershipi i ri i Partis\u00eb Demokratike \u00ebsht\u00eb vet\u00ebm hapi i par\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Hapi i dyt\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb hapja. Ajo duhet t\u00eb siguroj\u00eb hapjen m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe q\u00eb nga themelimi i saj para tre dekadash. Nj\u00eb hapje q\u00eb do t\u2019i b\u00ebnte vend cdo individi apo grup intersi q\u00eb e gjen veten n\u00eb k\u00ebto shtylla ideologjike. Por hapja m\u00eb e madhe duhet t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb ndaj diaspor\u00ebs. Sot, mbi 25% e shqiptarev\u00eb jan\u00eb qytetar\u00eb apo rezident\u00eb t\u00eb Bashkimit Europian apo Amerik\u00ebs Veriore. Ata jan\u00eb nj\u00eb thesar i pashfryt\u00ebzuar. N\u00eb tre dekada, mbi 60 mij\u00eb djem e vajza kan\u00eb p\u00ebrfunduar arsimin e lart\u00eb n\u00eb shkolla perendimore. Nga k\u00ebta mbi 15 mije kan\u00eb arsimim sip\u00ebror, nivel masteri apo doktorature. Numri i shqiptar\u00ebve q\u00eb kan\u00eb studiuar n\u00eb universitetet elite (Ivy Leagu), si Harvard, Yale, Standford, MIT, Oksford, Cambridge, LSE, Sorbon\u00eb, etj, shkon n\u00eb qindra, n\u00eb mos n\u00eb mij\u00ebra. Po kaq i madh \u00ebsht\u00eb numri i atyre q\u00eb punojn\u00eb pran\u00eb dhe p\u00ebr qeverit\u00eb perendimore, organizatat m\u00eb prestigjioze nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, kompanit\u00eb multinacionale m\u00eb t\u00eb medhat\u00eb n\u00eb bot\u00eb. Ekspertiza dhe profesionalizmi i tyre i b\u00ebn p\u00ebr turp t\u00eb gjith\u00eb ekspert\u00ebt e huaj q\u00eb sot punojn\u00eb n\u00eb Tiran\u00eb. Gadishm\u00ebria e tyre p\u00ebr t\u00eb kontribuar ka vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb kusht: seriozitetin. Nj\u00eb parti serioze, nj\u00eb program serioz, dhe nj\u00eb qeversisje serioze.<\/p>\n
Hapi i tret\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb aksioni popullor. P\u00ebr ket\u00eb nuk ja kam merakun PD.<\/p>\n
* An\u00ebtar i K\u00ebshillit Komb\u00ebtar t\u00eb Partis\u00eb Demokratike<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Infinite Monkey Theorem (Teorema e majmunit t\u00eb pafund) \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb teori n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e matematik\u00ebs s\u00eb probabilitetit. Kjo teori parashtron nj\u00eb skenar t\u00eb till\u00eb t\u00eb probabilitetit: n\u00ebs\u00eb nj\u00eb majmun godet tastier\u00ebn e nj\u00eb kompjuteri p\u00ebr nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb t\u00eb pafund kohe, pothuajse me siguri do t\u00eb shkruaj\u00eb nj\u00eb tekst t\u00eb caktuar, sic jan\u00eb p\u00ebr shembull veprat […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2031,"featured_media":214949,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[231],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-214948","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-lajme"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/214948","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2031"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=214948"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/214948\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/214949"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=214948"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=214948"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=214948"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}