{"id":215749,"date":"2021-11-03T17:53:43","date_gmt":"2021-11-03T16:53:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/?p=215749"},"modified":"2021-11-03T17:53:43","modified_gmt":"2021-11-03T16:53:43","slug":"paralajmerimi-i-analistit-amerikan-moska-po-planifikon-luften-e-ardhshme-ballkanike-permes-serbise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/paralajmerimi-i-analistit-amerikan-moska-po-planifikon-luften-e-ardhshme-ballkanike-permes-serbise\/","title":{"rendered":"Paralajm\u00ebrimi i analistit amerikan: Moska po planifikon luft\u00ebn e ardhshme ballkanike p\u00ebrmes Serbis\u00eb"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Kosova mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb pjes\u00eb e nj\u00eb ofensive m\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb t\u00eb Beogradit me udh\u00ebzimet ruse p\u00ebr t\u00eb zgjeruar pozicionin rajonal t\u00eb Beogradit. Sipas ministrit t\u00eb Brendsh\u00ebm serb Aleksandar Vulin, t\u00eb gjith\u00eb serb\u00ebt kan\u00eb t\u00eb drejt\u00eb t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb bashkuar n\u00eb nj\u00eb shtet.<\/p>\n<p>Njoh\u00ebsi i zhvillimeve t\u00eb Ballkanit Per\u00ebndimor, Janusz Bugajski, n\u00eb nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb t\u00eb tij, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb se ashtu si rus\u00ebt edhe serb\u00ebt portretizohen si viktima t\u00eb shum\u00ebvuajtura, t\u00eb cilat fuqit\u00eb armiq\u00ebsore po komplotojn\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u2019i eliminuar.\u201cBeogradi pretendon t\u00eb drejt\u00ebn p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbrojtur serb\u00ebt n\u00eb Bosnje-Hercegovin\u00eb, Mal t\u00eb Zi, Kosov\u00eb, Maqedonin\u00eb e Veriut dhe Kroaci\u201d.<\/p>\n<p> Bugajski thekson se derisa Sht\u00ebpia e Bardh\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e preokupuar me fuqin\u00eb ushtarake n\u00eb rritje t\u00eb Kin\u00ebs dhe k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimet e saj kund\u00ebr aleat\u00ebve t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb n\u00eb Lindjen e Larg\u00ebt, Kremlini mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrmbys\u00eb rajone t\u00eb tjera. \u201cP\u00ebrfitimi nga shp\u00ebrqendrimet e Sht\u00ebpis\u00eb s\u00eb Bardh\u00eb mund t\u00eb ndihmoj\u00eb n\u00eb ndezjen e konflikteve t\u00eb reja dhe Ballkani Per\u00ebndimor mbetet nj\u00eb objektiv kryesor i mund\u00ebsive. Mosmarr\u00ebveshja e fundit n\u00eb kufirin Kosov\u00eb-Serbi p\u00ebr njohjen e targave duket si nj\u00eb prov\u00eb p\u00ebr konfrontime m\u00eb serioze\u201d, thot\u00eb ai.<\/p>\n<p>Sipas tij, zyrtar\u00ebt rus\u00eb po inkurajojn\u00eb qeverin\u00eb e presidentit Aleksandar Vu\u00e7i\u00e7 q\u00eb ta transformoj\u00eb Serbin\u00eb n\u00eb fuqin\u00eb dominuese n\u00eb Ballkanin Per\u00ebndimor dhe n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb rris\u00eb ndikimin e Rusis\u00eb me Washingtonin dhe Brukselin. Tutje shton se edhe terreni propagandistik po p\u00ebrgatitet p\u00ebr konflikt.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBeogradi dhe Moska akuzojn\u00eb qeverin\u00eb e Kosov\u00ebs se po k\u00ebrc\u00ebnon t\u00eb drejtat dhe ekzistenc\u00ebn e pakic\u00ebs serbe. Nj\u00eb tregim i ngjash\u00ebm mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrdoret kund\u00ebr qeveris\u00eb boshnjake p\u00ebr t\u00eb justifikuar luft\u00ebn.<\/p>\n<p>Kremlini ka p\u00ebrdorur vazhdimisht pretendime t\u00eb tilla p\u00ebr popullsin\u00eb ruse n\u00eb nd\u00ebrmarrjet e tij agresive revizioniste n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, Gjeorgji dhe shtetet baltike. Rusia tani po udh\u00ebzon \u201cv\u00ebllan\u00eb e saj m\u00eb t\u00eb vog\u00ebl\u201d Serbin\u00eb p\u00ebr metodologjin\u00eb e dominimit rajonal dhe ndarjes territoriale\u201d, shkruan ai.<\/p>\n<p>Bugajski mendon se n\u00eb nj\u00eb skenar, operativ\u00ebt e inteligjenc\u00ebs serbe mund t\u00eb provokojn\u00eb konfrontime nd\u00ebretnike brenda Kosov\u00ebs dhe t\u00eb kapitalizojn\u00eb dhun\u00ebn q\u00eb pason si pretekst p\u00ebr nd\u00ebrhyrje ushtarake, duke vendosur k\u00ebshtu forc\u00ebn e vog\u00ebl t\u00eb NATO-s n\u00eb Kosov\u00eb n\u00eb pozit\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u2019u p\u00ebrballur me ushtrin\u00eb serbe. \u201cDuke mb\u00ebshtetur \u00e7do inkursion serb dhe duke k\u00ebrc\u00ebnuar se do t\u00eb ofroj\u00eb ndihm\u00eb t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb ushtarake n\u00ebse NATO angazhohet, Moska do t\u00eb testonte vendosm\u00ebrin\u00eb e Biden p\u00ebr t\u00eb rrezikuar nj\u00eb luft\u00eb NATO-Rusi. Putini mund t\u00eb llogaris\u00eb se Uashingtoni do t\u00eb preferonte negociatat edhe n\u00ebse kjo n\u00ebnkupton dor\u00ebzimin e komunave veriore t\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs n\u00ebn kontrollin e Beogradit, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht pasi Kosova nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb an\u00ebtare e NATO-s dhe nuk mund t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetet n\u00eb angazhimet e saj t\u00eb mbrojtjes kolektive\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>M\u00eb tej shton se p\u00ebrve\u00e7 destabilizimit t\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs, fokusi aktual i Beogradit \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb thellimin e ndarjeve t\u00eb Bosnj\u00ebs dhe aft\u00ebsimin e entitetit serb q\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnoj\u00eb shk\u00ebputjen. \u201cAjo gjithashtu bashk\u00ebpunon me nacionalist\u00ebt serb\u00eb n\u00eb qeverin\u00eb e koalicionit t\u00eb Malit t\u00eb Zi p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndryshuar pavar\u00ebsin\u00eb e Malit t\u00eb Zi dhe politikat pro-per\u00ebndimore. Nd\u00ebrsa Vu\u00e7i\u00e7 k\u00ebrkon lavdin\u00eb si nj\u00eb bashkues i \u201ctokave serbe\u201d, Putini e manipulon at\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u2019i sh\u00ebrbyer q\u00ebllimeve gjeopolitike t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb. Vu\u00e7iq \u00ebsht\u00eb borxhli i p\u00ebrhersh\u00ebm ndaj Mosk\u00ebs p\u00ebr bllokimin e hyrjes s\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs n\u00eb Kombet e Bashkuara dhe var\u00ebsia ekonomike e Serbis\u00eb nga Rusia po zgjerohet, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e energjis\u00eb, ku s\u00eb fundmi ajo iu bashkua lidhjes s\u00eb re t\u00eb gazit natyror rus p\u00ebrmes Bullgaris\u00eb dhe Turqis\u00eb\u201d, vazhdon tutje.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cQendra humanitare\u201d ruso-serbe af\u00ebr kufirit me Kosov\u00ebn sipas tij, sh\u00ebrben si objekt p\u00ebr mbledhjen e inteligjenc\u00ebs dhe operacione speciale p\u00ebr Mosk\u00ebn. \u201cSerbia po trajtohet gjithashtu si nj\u00eb post\u00eb ushtarake ruse dhe nj\u00eb qend\u00ebr e subversionit rajonal.<\/p>\n<p>Ajo ka qen\u00eb e armatosur me nj\u00eb shum\u00ebllojshm\u00ebri t\u00eb armatimit gjat\u00eb viteve t\u00eb fundit, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb avion\u00eb luftarak\u00eb, tanke, helikopter\u00eb dhe sisteme kund\u00ebrajrore. Serbia po zhvillon gjithashtu lidhje t\u00eb ngushta me Organizat\u00ebn e Traktatit t\u00eb Siguris\u00eb Kolektive (CSTO) t\u00eb kontrolluar nga Rusia, e synuar si nj\u00eb homologe shum\u00ebkomb\u00ebshe e NATO-s\u201d, shprehet njoh\u00ebsi i zhvillimeve t\u00eb Ballkanit Per\u00ebndimor.<\/p>\n<p> \u201cN\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet nj\u00eb morie tentakulash t\u00eb kontrolluara nga Kremlini, Serbia po b\u00ebhet peng i Ballkanit. Moska \u00ebsht\u00eb e bindur se \u00e7do l\u00ebvizje e Serbis\u00eb drejt an\u00ebtar\u00ebsimit n\u00eb NATO nuk do t\u00eb tolerohet dhe mund t\u00eb rezultoj\u00eb n\u00eb z\u00ebvend\u00ebsimin e Vu\u00e7iqit dhe qeveris\u00eb s\u00eb tij. Mb\u00ebshtetja e Kremlinit p\u00ebr grupe t\u00eb ndryshme nacionaliste n\u00eb Serbi, ndikimi i tij i gjer\u00eb n\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00ebn informative t\u00eb Serbis\u00eb, lidhjet e saj intime me Kish\u00ebn Ortodokse Serbe dhe dep\u00ebrtimi i spiunazhit t\u00eb tij n\u00eb institucionet kryesore n\u00eb Serbi kan\u00eb p\u00ebr q\u00ebllim t\u00eb mbajn\u00eb Vu\u00e7iqin n\u00eb linj\u00eb dhe ta pengojn\u00eb at\u00eb t\u00eb afrohet m\u00eb shum\u00eb. lidhjet integruese me institucionet per\u00ebndimore\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Janusz Bugajski, pretenton se Serbia ofron nj\u00eb mund\u00ebsi t\u00eb vlefshme p\u00ebr Putinin p\u00ebr t\u00eb nxitur konflikte t\u00eb armatosura n\u00eb nj\u00eb rajon ende t\u00eb paq\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm t\u00eb Ballkanit. Kjo sipas tij do t\u00eb ndihmonte n\u00eb zgjerimin e ndikimit t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb, do t\u00eb largonte v\u00ebmendjen per\u00ebndimore nga konfliktet q\u00eb Moska nd\u00ebrton n\u00eb lagjen e saj dhe do t\u00eb maskonte goditjen n\u00eb rritje t\u00eb disidenc\u00ebs brenda Federat\u00ebs Ruse. \u201cN\u00eb nj\u00eb moment, Vu\u00e7iq mund t\u00eb joshet ose provokohet n\u00eb nj\u00eb konfrontim ushtarak me nj\u00eb nga fqinj\u00ebt e Serbis\u00eb dhe m\u00eb pas do t\u2019i drejtohet Mosk\u00ebs p\u00ebr ndihm\u00eb. Me BE-n\u00eb pa timon dhe SHBA-n\u00eb t\u00eb fokusuar n\u00eb Kin\u00eb dhe kriza t\u00eb tjera nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, Kremlini mund t\u00eb llogaris\u00eb se rreziku i zvog\u00ebluar i nd\u00ebrhyrjes ushtarake per\u00ebndimore ia vlen t\u00eb merret\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Janusz Bugajski \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb an\u00ebtar i lart\u00eb n\u00eb Fondacionin Jamestown n\u00eb Washington DC.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kosova mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb pjes\u00eb e nj\u00eb ofensive m\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb t\u00eb Beogradit me udh\u00ebzimet ruse p\u00ebr t\u00eb zgjeruar pozicionin rajonal t\u00eb Beogradit. Sipas ministrit t\u00eb Brendsh\u00ebm serb Aleksandar Vulin, t\u00eb gjith\u00eb serb\u00ebt kan\u00eb t\u00eb drejt\u00eb t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb bashkuar n\u00eb nj\u00eb shtet. Njoh\u00ebsi i zhvillimeve t\u00eb Ballkanit Per\u00ebndimor, Janusz Bugajski, n\u00eb nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb t\u00eb [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2031,"featured_media":215750,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[231],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-215749","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-lajme"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/215749","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2031"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=215749"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/215749\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/215750"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=215749"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=215749"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=215749"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}