{"id":295009,"date":"2022-10-23T17:17:17","date_gmt":"2022-10-23T15:17:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/?p=295009"},"modified":"2022-10-23T17:17:17","modified_gmt":"2022-10-23T15:17:17","slug":"analiza-lufta-ne-ukraine-lukashenko-nuk-i-thot-dot-jo-putinit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/analiza-lufta-ne-ukraine-lukashenko-nuk-i-thot-dot-jo-putinit\/","title":{"rendered":"Analiza\/ Lufta n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, Lukashenko nuk i thot dot \u201cjo\u201d Putinit"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Kur Rusia ka nisur pushtimin e Ukrain\u00ebs m\u00eb 24 shkurt, forcat q\u00eb m\u00ebsyn\u00eb n\u00eb Kiev, jan\u00eb nisur nga Bjellorusia. Shteti i Evrop\u00ebs lindore \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb trampolin\u00eb p\u00ebr agresion, por nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb direkt n\u00eb luft\u00eb.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsi i tij diktatorial, Aleksandr Lukashenko, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb disa raste se \u00ebsht\u00eb kund\u00ebr luft\u00ebs, por nuk e ka fshehur mb\u00ebshtetjen p\u00ebr homologun rus, Vladimir Putin.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u201cVet\u00ebm nj\u00eb vend \u2013 Bjellorusia \u2013 \u00ebsht\u00eb haptazi n\u00eb an\u00ebn ruse. Rreth 50 vende jan\u00eb bashkuar n\u00eb an\u00ebn tjet\u00ebr. Ato e ndihmojn\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebn t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb luft\u00eb, jo vet\u00ebm me armatim, por me trupa, me mercenar\u00eb\u201d,<\/span><\/em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0ka th\u00ebn\u00eb Lukashenko.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Bjellorusia, po ashtu, e ndihmon Rusin\u00eb me mb\u00ebshtetje logjistike, me linja furnizimi, me kujdes mjek\u00ebsor p\u00ebr ushtar\u00ebt, si dhe me ofrimin e aerodromeve p\u00ebr nisjen e sulmeve ajrore n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Por, pas tet\u00eb muajsh luft\u00eb, forcat ruse atje jan\u00eb kryesisht t\u00eb bllokuara ose n\u00eb t\u00ebrheqje, dhe Putin duket se po k\u00ebrkon mb\u00ebshtetje edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe nga Lukashenko.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Pas nj\u00eb takimi q\u00eb dy lider\u00ebt kan\u00eb zhvilluar jav\u00ebn e dyt\u00eb t\u00eb tetorit, Lukashenko ka th\u00ebn\u00eb se Rusia dhe Bjellorusia kan\u00eb nisur t\u00eb krijojn\u00eb nj\u00eb \u201cformacion t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt ushtarak\u201d, q\u00eb do t\u00eb vendoset pran\u00eb kufirit t\u00eb Bjellorusis\u00eb me Ukrain\u00ebn. P\u00ebr ta justifikuar k\u00ebt\u00eb veprim, Lukashenko ka th\u00ebn\u00eb se Ukraina dhe aleat\u00ebt e saj n\u00eb Per\u00ebndim po planifikojn\u00eb sulme kund\u00ebr Bjellorusis\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u201cUdh\u00ebheqja ushtarake dhe politike e NATO-s dhe disa vende evropiane jan\u00eb duke shqyrtuar hapur opsionet e nj\u00eb agresioni t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm kund\u00ebr vendit ton\u00eb, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb nisjen e nj\u00eb sulmi b\u00ebrthamor\u201d,<\/span><\/em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u00a0ka th\u00ebn\u00eb Lukashenko.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Ai nuk ka ofruar asnj\u00eb prov\u00eb q\u00eb do t\u2019i mb\u00ebshteste k\u00ebto pretendime. Ministria e tij e Mbrojtjes, n\u00eb an\u00ebn tjet\u00ebr, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb jav\u00eb se Bjellorusia do t\u00eb mir\u00ebpres\u00eb 9.000 trupa ruse dhe 170 tanke.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u201cNj\u00ebsit\u00eb ushtarake t\u00eb formacionit do t\u00eb vendosen n\u00eb kat\u00ebr terrene st\u00ebrvitore t\u00eb Forcave t\u00eb Armatosura Bjelloruse, n\u00eb pjes\u00ebt lindore dhe qendrore t\u00eb vendit. M\u00eb pas do t\u00eb nisin aktivitetet st\u00ebrvitore luftarake\u201d, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb Valery Revenko, nga MPB e Bjellorusis\u00eb.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Presidenti i Ukrain\u00ebs, Volodymyr Zelensky, ka ngritur alarmin te grupi i vendeve m\u00eb t\u00eb industrializuara, G7, duke propozuar d\u00ebrgimin e paqeruajt\u00ebsve t\u00eb OKB-s\u00eb n\u00eb kufirin Ukrain\u00eb-Bjellorusi, p\u00ebr t\u00eb parandaluar Lukashenkon nga, si\u00e7 ka th\u00ebn\u00eb, \u201cnisja e provokimeve\u201d.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u201cUkraina nuk ka planifikuar dhe nuk planifikon veprime ushtarake kund\u00ebr Bjellorusis\u00eb. Ne jemi t\u00eb interesuar vet\u00ebm p\u00ebr rikthimin e integritetit ton\u00eb territorial\u201d, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb Zelensky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Pavar\u00ebsisht shenjave paralajm\u00ebruese, ka dyshime se Lukashenko do ta nis\u00eb ushtrin\u00eb n\u00eb luft\u00eb. Pavel Slunkin, ish-diplomat bjellorus, tani n\u00eb K\u00ebshillin Evropian p\u00ebr Marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnie me Jasht\u00eb, thot\u00eb p\u00ebr programin Expose t\u00eb Radios Evropa e Lir\u00eb se p\u00ebrfshirja direkte n\u00eb luft\u00eb, do t\u00eb ishte e rrezikshme p\u00ebr regjimin n\u00eb Minsk.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u201cSipas [institutit britanik] Chatham House, vet\u00ebm 3 p\u00ebr qind e bjellorus\u00ebve duan q\u00eb ushtria e tyre t\u00eb luftoj\u00eb p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb. Vet\u00ebm 3 p\u00ebr qind. Pra, shumica jan\u00eb rrept\u00ebsisht kund\u00ebr luft\u00ebs. N\u00ebse Lukashenko d\u00ebrgon ushtrin\u00eb [n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb], nj\u00eb gj\u00eb e till\u00eb mund t\u00eb provokoj\u00eb episodin e dyt\u00eb t\u00eb kriz\u00ebs politike, q\u00eb vazhdon nga viti 2020. Ushtria ka qen\u00eb nj\u00eb nga instrumentet q\u00eb Lukashenko ka p\u00ebrdorur p\u00ebr t\u00eb shtypur protestat kund\u00ebr tij. N\u00ebse ushtar\u00ebt vriten, kush do ta shp\u00ebtoj\u00eb\u201d, thot\u00eb Slunkin.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Lukashenko \u2013 n\u00eb pushtet nga viti 1994 \u2013 \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrballur me protesta masive n\u00eb vitin 2020. At\u00ebbot\u00eb, ai i ka dh\u00ebn\u00eb vetes mandatin e gjasht\u00eb presidencial, edhe pse v\u00ebzhguesit nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar\u00eb kan\u00eb th\u00ebn\u00eb se zgjedhjet kan\u00eb qen\u00eb t\u00eb manipuluara. P\u00ebr rrjedhoj\u00eb, Bashkimi Evropian dhe Shtetet e Bashkuara kan\u00eb refuzuar ta njohin si udh\u00ebheq\u00ebs legjitim t\u00eb Bjellorusis\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Tatsiana Kulakevich, studiuese e \u00e7\u00ebshtjeve politike pran\u00eb Universitetit t\u00eb Florid\u00ebs s\u00eb Jugut, thot\u00eb p\u00ebr Exposen\u00eb se ushtria e Bjellorusis\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e dob\u00ebt dhe jo e p\u00ebrgatitur p\u00ebr t\u00eb luftuar me Ukrain\u00ebn. Kulakevich, e cila vet\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb me origjin\u00eb bjelloruse, thot\u00eb se Lukashenko do t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqet t\u2019i jap\u00eb Putinit gjith\u00e7ka, p\u00ebrve\u00e7 ushtar\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u201c[Lukashenko] \u00ebsht\u00eb i gatsh\u00ebm t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb t\u00eb manovroj\u00eb. Ai nuk ka qen\u00eb kurr\u00eb i gatsh\u00ebm t\u00eb veproj\u00eb, n\u00eb kuptimin q\u00eb ta d\u00ebrgoj\u00eb ushtrin\u00eb bjelloruse n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb. Nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb interesin e tij. Ai duhet t\u00eb q\u00ebndroj\u00eb n\u00eb pushtet. Nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb lufta e tij. Dhe, praktikisht, mund\u00ebsia p\u00ebr d\u00ebrgimin e trupave n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e vog\u00ebl. Ai do t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb ta ofroj\u00eb territorin bjellorus si pik\u00ebnisje p\u00ebr sulmet ruse\u201d, thot\u00eb Kulakevich.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Lukashenko u ka mbijetuar protestave masive t\u00eb vitit 2020 me ndihm\u00ebn e Rusis\u00eb, dhe ai varet nga Putini si politikisht, ashtu edhe ekonomikisht.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Slunkin, nga K\u00ebshilli Evropian p\u00ebr Marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnie me Jasht\u00eb, thot\u00eb se Lukashenko nuk do t\u00eb mund ta kund\u00ebrshtoj\u00eb p\u00ebrfshirjen direkte n\u00eb luft\u00eb, n\u00ebse Putini ia k\u00ebrkon at\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u201cPa Putinin, regjimi i Lukashenkos nuk do t\u00eb mbijetoj\u00eb. Jam i sigurt se n\u00ebse Putin do q\u00eb Lukashenko t\u00eb pushtoj\u00eb [Ukrain\u00ebn], kjo edhe do t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb. Rusia ka nj\u00eb mori mekanizmash p\u00ebr ta detyruar at\u00eb t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb at\u00eb q\u00eb Putin do\u201d, thot\u00eb Slunkin.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, Rusia dhe Bjellorusia kan\u00eb doktrin\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt ushtarake. Sipas k\u00ebtij dokumenti, t\u00eb n\u00ebnshkruar n\u00eb n\u00ebntor t\u00eb vitit t\u00eb kaluar, veprimi ushtarak kund\u00ebr nj\u00ebrit prej k\u00ebtyre dy vendeve, do t\u00eb n\u00ebnkuptonte sulm kund\u00ebr t\u00eb dyve. Pas aneksimit t\u00eb paligjsh\u00ebm t\u00eb disa territoreve n\u00eb rajonet Donbas dhe Herson t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs, Putin mund t\u00eb pretendoj\u00eb se kund\u00ebrofensiva e forcave ukrainase atje, \u00ebsht\u00eb sulm kund\u00ebr aleanc\u00ebs Rusi-Bjellorusi, thon\u00eb analist\u00ebt.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Dhe, \u00e7far\u00eb do t\u00eb ndodhte n\u00ebse Bjellorusia do t\u2019i bashkohej luft\u00ebs kund\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebs? P\u00ebrgjigjet Slunkin:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u201cNuk mendoj se do ta ndryshonte situat\u00ebn n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb strategjike. Ukraina nuk do t\u00eb niste t\u00eb humbiste n\u00eb luft\u00eb. Kjo nuk do t\u00eb ndodhte. Ushtria bjelloruse zyrtarisht ka 40.000 deri n\u00eb 60.000 ushtar\u00eb. Por, ata q\u00eb mund t\u00eb luftojn\u00eb jan\u00eb 10.000 deri n\u00eb 15.000. Pra, nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb num\u00ebr vendimtar\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">P\u00ebrve\u00e7 k\u00ebtyre kapaciteteve q\u00eb p\u00ebrmend Slunkin, ushtria bjelloruse ka edhe rreth 500 tanke luftarake, mbi 300 artileri vet\u00ebl\u00ebviz\u00ebse dhe mbi 70 avion\u00eb luftarak\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Ueb-faqja e lajmeve Meduza, me seli n\u00eb Riga t\u00eb Letonis\u00eb, ka raportuar se regjimi i Lukashenkos \u00ebsht\u00eb duke b\u00ebr\u00eb mobilizim t\u00eb fsheht\u00eb ushtarak.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u201cFaza e par\u00eb e rekrutimit, e cila do t\u00eb maskohet si nj\u00eb \u2018kontroll i aft\u00ebsis\u00eb luftarake\u2019, do t\u00eb prek\u00eb vet\u00ebm bjellorus\u00ebt rural\u00eb\u201d, ka shkruar Meduza, duke u thirrur n\u00eb disa media n\u00eb Minsk.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Zyrtar\u00ebt bjellorus\u00eb i kan\u00eb mohuar k\u00ebto raporte dhe kan\u00eb th\u00ebn\u00eb se nuk do t\u00eb ket\u00eb mobilizim ushtarak.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Bjellorusia dhe Ukraina ndajn\u00eb nj\u00eb kufi prej 1.000 kilometrash, i cili \u00ebsht\u00eb kryesisht i pyll\u00ebzuar dhe jo i populluar. Bjellorusia, po ashtu, ndan kufi me tri vende an\u00ebtare t\u00eb NATO-s: Polonin\u00eb, Lituanin\u00eb dhe Letonin\u00eb. P\u00ebrfshirja eventuale e saj n\u00eb fush\u00ebbetej\u00eb do ta sillte luft\u00ebn edhe m\u00eb af\u00ebr kufijve t\u00eb aleanc\u00ebs ushtarake per\u00ebndimore.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Sekretari i p\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm i NATO-s, Jens Stoltenberg, u ka b\u00ebr\u00eb thirrje autoriteteve bjelloruse q\u00eb t\u00eb shmangin kontributin n\u00eb luft\u00ebn e Rusis\u00eb kund\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u201cPresidenti Putin e ka nisur k\u00ebt\u00eb luft\u00eb dhe vet\u00ebm ai duhet ta p\u00ebrfundoj\u00eb, duke i t\u00ebrhequr trupat nga territori i Ukrain\u00ebs. Lukashenko duhet t\u00eb ndaloj\u00eb \u00e7do hap drejt hyrjes n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb konflikt t\u00eb paligjsh\u00ebm\u201d, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb Stoltenberg.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Disa banor\u00eb t\u00eb fshatit Moskali t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs, i cili ndodhet vet\u00ebm 100 metra larg kufirit me Bjellorusin\u00eb, kan\u00eb shprehur frik\u00eb nga pushtimi i mundsh\u00ebm bjellorus.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u201c\u00c7do gj\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e mundur. Jan\u00eb njer\u00ebz t\u00eb pamoralsh\u00ebm. Lukashenko nuk ka ku t\u00eb shkoj\u00eb. Evropa s\u2019e pranon. Ai mund t\u00eb q\u00ebndroj\u00eb vet\u00ebm me Rusin\u00eb\u201d, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb nj\u00eb banor i Moskalit p\u00ebr Radion Evropa e Lir\u00eb. \u201cLukashenko \u00ebsht\u00eb sharlatan. Nuk presim asgj\u00eb mir\u00eb\u201d, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Banor\u00ebt e k\u00ebtij fshati n\u00eb rajonin e \u00c7ernihivit kan\u00eb qen\u00eb nd\u00ebr t\u00eb par\u00ebt q\u00eb jan\u00eb p\u00ebrballur me ushtrin\u00eb ruse m\u00eb 24 shkurt. Q\u00eb nga ajo koh\u00eb, p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimi i luft\u00ebs \u2013 me p\u00ebrfshirjen edhe t\u00eb vendeve t\u00eb tjera \u2013 ka qen\u00eb gjithmon\u00eb mund\u00ebsi. Ka pasur edhe skenar\u00eb se Rusia mund t\u00eb pushtoj\u00eb edhe fqinj t\u00eb tjer\u00eb rajonal\u00eb: Polonin\u00eb, vendet baltike, apo Moldavin\u00eb. NATO e ka b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb qart\u00eb se do t\u00eb mbroj\u00eb \u00e7do in\u00e7 t\u00eb territorit t\u00eb saj.\/ Marr\u00eb nga\u00a0<\/span><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">REL<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kur Rusia ka nisur pushtimin e Ukrain\u00ebs m\u00eb 24 shkurt, forcat q\u00eb m\u00ebsyn\u00eb n\u00eb Kiev, jan\u00eb nisur nga Bjellorusia. Shteti i Evrop\u00ebs lindore \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb trampolin\u00eb p\u00ebr agresion, por nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb direkt n\u00eb luft\u00eb. Udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsi i tij diktatorial, Aleksandr Lukashenko, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb disa raste se \u00ebsht\u00eb kund\u00ebr luft\u00ebs, por nuk e ka fshehur [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2020,"featured_media":295010,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[241,231],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-295009","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-aktualitet","8":"category-lajme"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/295009","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2020"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=295009"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/295009\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/295010"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=295009"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=295009"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=295009"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}