{"id":304692,"date":"2022-12-11T17:08:16","date_gmt":"2022-12-11T16:08:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/?p=304692"},"modified":"2022-12-11T17:08:16","modified_gmt":"2022-12-11T16:08:16","slug":"politogu-kalemaj-ben-parashikimin-se-cilat-bashki-te-medhaja-fiton-pd-tirana-perjashtohet-si-mundesine-e-fitores","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/politogu-kalemaj-ben-parashikimin-se-cilat-bashki-te-medhaja-fiton-pd-tirana-perjashtohet-si-mundesine-e-fitores\/","title":{"rendered":"Politogu Kalemaj: B\u00ebn parashikimin se cilat bashki t\u00eb m\u00ebdhaja fiton PD, Tirana p\u00ebrjashtohet si mund\u00ebsin\u00eb e fitores"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Politologu Ilir Kalemaj komentoi n\u00eb edicionin e lajmeve n\u00eb MCN Tv disa nga zhvillimet e fundit politike n\u00eb vend dhe Kosov\u00eb. Duke analizuar faktin q\u00eb Alimehmeti u t\u00ebrhoq nga balotazhi p\u00ebr primaret, Kalemaj e sheh k\u00ebt\u00eb si nj\u00eb bast, ku kandidati p\u00ebr Tiran\u00ebn mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb deputet n\u00eb zgjedhjet e ardhshme, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb kontributit dhe galvanizimit elektoral.<\/p>\n

\u201cMendohet q\u00eb n\u00eb faz\u00ebn e dyt\u00eb t\u00eb primareve, kandidati apo kandidatja me numrin m\u00eb t\u00eb madh t\u00eb votave, do ta kaloj\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb prag. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb praktika, sepse nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e kandidat\u00ebve t\u00ebrhiqen dhe i bashkohen fituesit ose atij n\u00eb vend t\u00eb dyt\u00eb, kur b\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr balatozh. Nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e mir\u00eb jan\u00eb t\u00ebrhequr, psh. Tirana, jan\u00eb edhe dy bashki t\u00eb tjera ku jan\u00eb t\u00ebrhequr n\u00eb favor t\u00eb kandidatit kryesues. <\/p>\n

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I ndoqa m\u00eb v\u00ebmendjen deklaratat kur u shpreh\u00ebn se kishin b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb fushat\u00eb primaresh amerikane, dhe n\u00eb k\u00ebto raste i dyti i bashk\u00ebngjitet bilet\u00ebs s\u00eb fituesit dhe b\u00ebhet n\u00ebnkryetar. Biden kur garoi me Obam\u00ebn, doli i 4 dhe i 5 dhe pas rezultatit zhg\u00ebnjyes i bashk\u00ebngjit Obam\u00ebs dhe u p\u00ebrzgjodh n\u00ebnpresident i tij. <\/p>\n

N\u00eb rastin konkret kjo mund t\u00eb analizohet n\u00eb dy nivele, at\u00eb q\u00eb b\u00ebri Alimhehmeti p\u00ebr t\u00ebrheqjen nga gara, n\u00eb nj\u00eb far\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb i parapriu koh\u00ebs politike, sepse k\u00ebt\u00eb mund ta b\u00ebnte edhe kandidati i tret\u00eb Bogdani. Evitoi shkuarjen n\u00eb balotazh ku kandidati primar kishte 48 p\u00ebr qind t\u00eb votave dhe disa kandidat t\u00eb tjer\u00eb posht\u00eb e mb\u00ebshtet\u00ebn. <\/p>\n

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Duke p\u00ebrllogaritur shanset elektorale, ndoshta ai ka b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb bast, duke qen\u00eb edhe i ri n\u00eb politik\u00eb, q\u00eb un\u00eb mb\u00ebshtes kandidatin fitues, hyj n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb gar\u00eb dhe fitohet apo nuk fitohet Tirana \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb list\u00ebn e deputet\u00ebve, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb kontributit dhe galvanizimit elektoral\u201d.<\/p>\n

Kalemaj tha se Durr\u00ebsi dhe Elbasani do t\u00eb jen\u00eb nj\u00eb test lakmuesi se nga cila an\u00eb do t\u00eb anoj\u00eb balanca elektorale, dhe dy qytete ku PD ka shanse reale p\u00ebr t\u00eb fituar.<\/p>\n

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\u201cGara reale q\u00eb ka PD, shanse p\u00ebr t\u00eb qen\u00eb t\u00eb suksesshme, p\u00ebrpos Shkodr\u00ebs, do ishte Durr\u00ebsi dhe Elbasanit. E shoh m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb Tiran\u00ebn p\u00ebr disa arsye. N\u00eb Durr\u00ebs dhe Elbasan e majta ka qeverisur p\u00ebr 16 vjet, n\u00eb Durr\u00ebs ka betonizim t\u00eb tejskajsh\u00ebm, ish-kryebashkiaku Dako u largua non grata dhe ka nj\u00eb hije te kryebashkiakja aktuale, jan\u00eb qytetet m\u00eb problematike n\u00eb krimin elektoral. <\/p>\n

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Faktori i fundit \u00ebsht\u00eb q\u00eb Durr\u00ebsi dhe Elbasani kan\u00eb qen\u00eb test lakmuesi ku do anoj\u00eb balanca elektorale. Durr\u00ebsi s\u2019ka qen\u00eb bastion tipik dhe ka qen\u00eb let\u00ebr lakmuesi. Opozita futet me disa disvantazhe, jo vet\u00ebm n\u00eb kuptimin e \u00e7arjes s\u00eb dy PD-ve, por edhe n\u00eb faktin q\u00eb edhe brenda ekipit q\u00eb drejton PD-n\u00eb dhe opozit\u00ebn, ka mosmarr\u00ebveshje n\u00eb nivel lokal t\u00eb cilat duhen ezauruar deri dit\u00ebn q\u00eb do dalin, pavar\u00ebsisht formul\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

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N\u00eb 6 mars kur ishin zgjedhjet e fundit lokale, pam\u00eb q\u00eb vet\u00ebm Shkodra u fitua n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb de\u00e7isive nga e djathta, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb bastione si Vora, e djathta apo opozita p\u00ebsoi humbje disfatiste, gati 73 p\u00ebr qind votuan p\u00ebr kandidatin e majt\u00eb. Tirana ka disa faktor\u00eb q\u00eb favorizojn\u00eb t\u00eb majt\u00ebn. Shum\u00eb nga lejet e nd\u00ebrtimit, gjith\u00eb ky sistem klientele q\u00eb favorizon at\u00eb n\u00eb pushtet, salamandra elektorale, pjesa e patronazhist\u00ebve, ku shumica ishin t\u00eb pun\u00ebsuar n\u00eb bashki dhe me rroga publike.\u201d<\/p>\n

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\u201cZvarritja e procesit \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb interes t\u00eb Ram\u00ebs. Sa m\u00eb af\u00ebr zgjedhjeve lokale\u2026 Fushata nga PS ka nisur \u2018de facto\u2019. PD me ezaurimin e raundit t\u00eb dyt\u00eb t\u00eb balotazhit fillon edhe ajo t\u00eb ndez\u00eb motorin, asnj\u00ebher\u00eb s\u2019fillon brenda kufirit zyrtar. <\/p>\n

Vendimi i gjykat\u00ebs nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb rol de\u00e7iziv p\u00ebr vouesit, sepse edhe n\u00ebse do jet\u00eb n\u00eb favor t\u00eb Alibeajt dhe Bash\u00ebs, Sht\u00ebpia e Liris\u00eb, do b\u00ebj t\u00eb mundur grupimin e k\u00ebtyre partive q\u00eb jan\u00eb n\u00eb koalicion me nj\u00ebra-tjetr\u00ebn. Mbetet p\u00ebr t\u2019u par\u00eb ku do pozicionohen aleat\u00ebt, Duka ka th\u00ebn\u00eb q\u00eb do dal\u00eb m\u00eb vete, z.Mediu \u00ebsht\u00eb i paqart\u00eb\u2026Pak pesh\u00eb elektorale do z\u00ebr\u00eb \u00e7\u00ebshtja e vul\u00ebs por ka r\u00ebnd\u00ebsin\u00eb e vet. N\u00ebse z.Alibeaj merr vul\u00ebn, s\u2019do t\u00eb thot\u00eb q\u00eb kandidat\u00ebt e tij do zgjidhen n\u00eb asnj\u00ebr\u00ebn prej 61 bashkit\u00eb, por q\u00eb do prishin pun\u00eb p\u00ebr Sht\u00ebpin\u00eb e Liris\u00eb, patjet\u00ebr q\u00eb do prishin pun\u00eb\u201d.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Politologu Ilir Kalemaj komentoi n\u00eb edicionin e lajmeve n\u00eb MCN Tv disa nga zhvillimet e fundit politike n\u00eb vend dhe Kosov\u00eb. Duke analizuar faktin q\u00eb Alimehmeti u t\u00ebrhoq nga balotazhi p\u00ebr primaret, Kalemaj e sheh k\u00ebt\u00eb si nj\u00eb bast, ku kandidati p\u00ebr Tiran\u00ebn mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb deputet n\u00eb zgjedhjet e ardhshme, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb kontributit […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2039,"featured_media":304693,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1454,235],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-304692","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-politike","8":"category-vendi"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/304692","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2039"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=304692"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/304692\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/304693"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=304692"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=304692"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=304692"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}