Franca mund t\u00eb thuhet se po p\u00ebrballet me nj\u00eb val\u00eb t\u00eb dyt\u00eb t\u00eb Covid. Shifrat e fundit jan\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb t\u00eb frikshme: gati 25,000 raste t\u00eb reja n\u00eb tre dit\u00eb, me 7,000 raste t\u00eb reja t\u00eb raportuara t\u00eb diel\u00ebn, pas 8,500 t\u00eb raportuara t\u00eb shtun\u00ebn dhe 9000 t\u00eb premten, kurse t\u00eb h\u00ebn\u00ebn 4000.<\/p>\n
Parisi \u00ebsht\u00eb i shqet\u00ebsuar se “n\u00eb 15 dit\u00ebt e ardhshme do t\u00eb ket\u00eb nj\u00eb rritje, jo masive, por gjithsesi rritje n\u00eb numrin e rasteve t\u00eb s\u00ebmur\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00eb” – tha Ministri Francez i Sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsis\u00eb, Olivier V\u00e9ran, – i cili shtoi se \u201csituata n\u00eb spital, megjith\u00eb numrat n\u00eb rritje \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb e ndryshme karahasuar me muajin mars.<\/p>\n
Shum\u00eb raste t\u00eb reja t\u00eb identifikuara n\u00eb fakt jan\u00eb asimptomatike ose n\u00eb \u00e7do rast jo raste serioze, q\u00eb do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se ngarkesa virale (dmth sasia e virusit e pranishme n\u00eb trup) \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb e ul\u00ebt se m\u00eb par\u00eb, dhe p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye spitalet dhe repartet e reanimacionit nuk jan\u00eb n\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsi.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb Franc\u00eb, po pyesin se \u00e7far\u00eb po ndodh nd\u00ebrsa ekspert\u00ebt po p\u00ebrpiqen t\u00eb formulojn\u00eb disa hipoteza.<\/p>\n
S\u00eb pari, virusi \u00ebsht\u00eb v\u00ebrtetuar q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb virulent por i ka r\u00ebn\u00eb agresiviteti<\/p>\n
S\u00eb dyti, tani n\u00eb Franc\u00eb po b\u00ebhen shum\u00eb m\u00eb tep\u00ebr se m\u00eb par\u00eb teste tamponi, rreth 550 mij\u00eb deri 1 milion n\u00eb nj\u00eb jav\u00eb<\/p>\n
Pavar\u00ebsisht k\u00ebsaj, rritja e infeksioneve \u00ebsht\u00eb e konsiderueshme dhe ka kaluar nga rreth 1% n\u00eb jav\u00eb n\u00eb 4% dhe nuk shpjegohet se si \u00ebsht\u00eb e mundur q\u00eb n\u00eb pak m\u00eb shum\u00eb se nj\u00eb muaj rastet t\u00eb jen\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se kat\u00ebrfishuar.<\/p>\n
Sipas S\u00e9gol\u00e8ne Aym\u00e9, nga Laboratori k\u00ebrkimor \u2018Inserm\u2019, \u00e7el\u00ebsi p\u00ebr t\u00eb kuptuar situat\u00ebn aktuale \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr.<\/p>\n
“Nuk ka nevoj\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebrkojm\u00eb shpjegime t\u00eb komplikuara\u2026Ndoshta virusi qarkullon n\u00eb nj\u00eb nivel t\u00eb lart\u00eb, por dinamika tani \u00ebsht\u00eb shqet\u00ebsuese te segmentet e reja t\u00eb shoq\u00ebris\u00eb: kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb arsyeja pse rastet serioze jan\u00eb relativisht t\u00eb pakta. Njer\u00ebzit m\u00eb t\u00eb rrezikuar, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht t\u00eb moshuarit, e mbrojn\u00eb veten m\u00eb mire\u201d \u2013 tha Aym\u00e9<\/p>\n
Qarkullimi i virusit tani \u00ebsht\u00eb midis moshave 20 – 40 vje\u00e7, kryesisht asimptomatik dhe me nd\u00ebrlikime t\u00eb rralla t\u00eb infeksionit. Sipas studiuesit, p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye mund t\u00eb thuhet se “modeli i transmetimit” ka ndryshuar.<\/p>\n
Mircea Sofonea, profesor i epidemiologjis\u00eb s\u00eb s\u00ebmundjeve infektive n\u00eb Universitetin e Montpellier, shpjegon pse rastet e shtrimit n\u00eb spital jan\u00eb ende relativisht t\u00eb ul\u00ebta krahasuar me numrin e madh t\u00eb t\u00eb infektuarve.<\/p>\n
Sipas profesorit, ekziston nj\u00eb “mosp\u00ebrputhje” midis rritjes s\u00eb numrit t\u00eb rasteve t\u00eb zbuluara dhe asaj t\u00eb numrit t\u00eb njer\u00ebzve t\u00eb shtruar n\u00eb spital, ose vdekjes, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb koh\u00ebs s\u00eb inkubacionit (duke filluar nga pes\u00eb n\u00eb shtat\u00eb dit\u00eb) dhe m\u00eb pas p\u00ebr p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsimin e s\u00ebmundjes ( nga shtat\u00eb n\u00eb dhjet\u00eb dit\u00eb) dhe kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb arsyeja pse Ministri V\u00e9ran mbetet i kujdessh\u00ebm n\u00eb lidhje me parashikimet e shtrimit n\u00eb spital.<\/p>\n
“Ka mesatarisht rreth tre ose kat\u00ebr jav\u00eb midis ngjitjes dhe vdekjes” – shpjegoi profesor Sofonea: prandaj duhet t\u00eb presim p\u00ebr kat\u00ebrmb\u00ebdhjet\u00eb dit\u00ebt kanonike q\u00eb kalojn\u00eb midis kontaminimit dhe shtrimit n\u00eb spital, pastaj nga tet\u00eb n\u00eb gjasht\u00ebmb\u00ebdhjet\u00eb dit\u00eb t\u00eb tjera para vdekjes s\u00eb mundshme “n\u00eb var\u00ebsi t\u00eb trajtimit ose profilit t\u00eb pacientit \u201d, p\u00ebr t\u00eb kuptuar n\u00ebse do t\u00eb gjendemi para nj\u00eb vale t\u00eb re pacient\u00ebsh q\u00eb do t\u00eb bllokojn\u00eb kujdesin intensiv apo jo.<\/p>\n
Sidoqoft\u00eb, situata mund t\u00eb ndryshoj\u00eb me hapjen e shkollave, t\u00eb cilat n\u00eb Franc\u00eb u rihap\u00ebn m\u00eb 1 shtator. Tre dit\u00eb pas kthimit t\u00eb nx\u00ebn\u00ebsve n\u00eb klasa, 22 shkolla n\u00eb Alpe u mbyll\u00ebn p\u00ebr karantin\u00eb. Sipas rregullave franceze, n\u00eb fakt, n\u00ebse ka m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 3 raste t\u00eb Covid19, mbyllja e shkoll\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb e detyrueshme.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Franca mund t\u00eb thuhet se po p\u00ebrballet me nj\u00eb val\u00eb t\u00eb dyt\u00eb t\u00eb Covid. Shifrat e fundit jan\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb t\u00eb frikshme: gati 25,000 raste t\u00eb reja n\u00eb tre dit\u00eb, me 7,000 raste t\u00eb reja t\u00eb raportuara t\u00eb diel\u00ebn, pas 8,500 t\u00eb raportuara t\u00eb shtun\u00ebn dhe 9000 t\u00eb premten, kurse t\u00eb h\u00ebn\u00ebn 4000. Parisi \u00ebsht\u00eb i […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2020,"featured_media":141250,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[241,191,231],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-141660","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-aktualitet","8":"category-bota","9":"category-lajme"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141660","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2020"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=141660"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141660\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/141250"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=141660"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=141660"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=141660"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}