{"id":323593,"date":"2023-06-01T16:52:31","date_gmt":"2023-06-01T14:52:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/?p=323593"},"modified":"2023-06-01T16:52:31","modified_gmt":"2023-06-01T14:52:31","slug":"fucia-e-barutit-dhe-tejkalimi-i-krizes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/fucia-e-barutit-dhe-tejkalimi-i-krizes\/","title":{"rendered":"Fu\u00e7ia e barutit dhe tejkalimi i kriz\u00ebs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Nga Ilir Kalemaj<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7far\u00eb dim\u00eb p\u00ebr situat\u00ebn<\/p>\n<p>Vuciq refuzon Marr\u00ebveshjen e Ohrit!<\/p>\n<p>Kurti e firmos pa entuziaz\u00ebm por pa pasur nj\u00eb pranim t\u00eb qart\u00eb t\u00eb Asosacionit dhe pa nj\u00eb plan t\u00eb qart\u00eb t\u00eb implementimit t\u00eb tij (p\u00ebrtej hedhjes se ides\u00eb p\u00ebr modelin kroat).<\/p>\n<p>Vuciq nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb po ballafaqohet me protestat m\u00eb t\u00eb forta n\u00eb nj\u00eb dekad\u00eb p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb militarizimit t\u00eb shoq\u00ebris\u00eb, vrasjeve brutale t\u00eb t\u00eb rinjve dhe shp\u00ebrfaqjes publike t\u00eb lidhjeve t\u00eb tij me huligan\u00ebt dhe krimin e organizuar.<\/p>\n<p>Gati gjysma e serb\u00ebve t\u00eb veriut t\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs jan\u00eb nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb n\u00eb Beograd p\u00ebr t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetur Vuciqin n\u00eb guerriljen urbane.<\/p>\n<p>Pik\u00ebrisht n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb koh\u00eb Kurti, pa u konsultuar dhe n\u00eb kund\u00ebrshtim me vullnetin e aleat\u00ebve (SHBA+BE) zbarkon t\u00eb zgjedhurit e tij vendor\u00eb n\u00eb godinat qeveritar\u00eb duke eskaluar konfliktin.<\/p>\n<p>Serb\u00eb jo vendas zbarkojn\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb rrahur trupat e KFOR, q\u00ebllojn\u00eb me plumba dhe godasin makina gazetar\u00ebsh.<\/p>\n<p>NATO paralajm\u00ebron rialokimin e 700 trupave shtes\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>SHBA p\u00ebrjashton Kosov\u00ebn nga st\u00ebrvitja Defender 2023 dhe paralajm\u00ebron ngrirjen e lobimit p\u00ebr njohjet duke shprehur hapur mosaprovimin me Kurtin.<\/p>\n<p>Kurti i p\u00ebrgjigjet flak\u00eb p\u00ebr flak\u00eb Blinken duke e quajtur naiv q\u00ebndrimin e tij.<\/p>\n<p>Marr\u00ebveshja e Ohrit rrezikon t\u00eb hidhet n\u00eb er\u00eb nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb Veriu i Kosov\u00ebs t\u00eb kthehet n\u00eb konflikt t\u00eb ngrir\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Rusia i ka dh\u00ebn\u00eb nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb planin operacional t\u00eb \u201coperacionit special\u201d n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb Beogradit. Ky i fundit \u00ebsht\u00eb kthyer n\u00eb vatr\u00ebn kryesore t\u00eb spiunazhit rus n\u00eb bot\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Vuciqi po arrin p\u00ebrmes diplomacis\u00eb shum\u00ebvektoriale t\u00eb flas\u00eb rusisht me Kremlinin, kinezce me Pekinin, anglisht me Washingtonin dhe Brukselin dhe shqip me Ram\u00ebn.<\/p>\n<p>Statusi i Kosov\u00ebs ngelet i paqart\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb t\u00eb ardhme t\u00eb af\u00ebrt, n\u00eb risk destabilizimi t\u00eb brendsh\u00ebm, me konflikt t\u00eb ngrir\u00eb n\u00eb Veri, duke tejkaluar momentin oportun gjeopolitik.<\/p>\n<p>Mal i Zi rr\u00ebshqet n\u00eb orbitat pro-serbe (potencialisht pro-ruse) pas zgjedhjeve parlamentare.<\/p>\n<p>Bosnje-Herzegovina rrezikon destabilitet t\u00eb brendsh\u00ebm dhe potencialisht separatiz\u00ebm serb.<\/p>\n<p>Leksione dhe projeksione<\/p>\n<p>Leksionet q\u00eb rrjedhin nga k\u00ebto fakte, mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb disa, ashtu sikund\u00ebr projeksionet t\u00eb cilat variojn\u00eb nga ato optimiste n\u00eb m\u00eb pesimistet. E r\u00ebnd\u00ebishme \u00ebsht\u00eb t\u00eb kuptohet pozita aktuale jo nga premisa moraliste apo nga anon e drejta, por nga premisa realiste dhe vencarisht ato q\u00eb kan\u00eb parasysh raportin e fuqive. Thuqididi na ka paralajm\u00ebruar p\u00ebrmes ulimatumit t\u00eb Athenian\u00ebve ndaj Melenian\u00ebve, n\u00eb shekullin e 5t\u00eb para Krishtit, se \u201cT\u00eb fuqishmit k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb at\u00eb q\u00eb munden, dhe t\u00eb dob\u00ebtit japin at\u00eb q\u00eb duhet\u201d. Natyrisht diplomacia amerikane n\u00eb k\u00ebto momente po l\u00eb t\u00eb kuptohet se durimi \u00ebsht\u00eb duke i sosur n\u00eb lidhje me hapjen e nj\u00eb fronti t\u00eb ri konflikti n\u00eb Europ\u00eb, nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb po mundohet t\u00eb p\u00ebrballoj\u00eb p\u00ebrmes diplomacis\u00eb ushtarake dhe kund\u00ebr-inteligjenc\u00ebs agresionin rus n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb dhe rrezikun n\u00eb rritje ndaj Moldavis\u00eb dhe hap\u00ebsirave t\u00eb tjera ish-sovjetike. Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnohet dhe krahu lindor i NATOs t\u00eb cil\u00ebt kan\u00eb rritur duksh\u00ebm financimet ushtarake dhe gadishm\u00ebrin\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u2019u p\u00ebrballur me rrezikun e nj\u00eb lufte hibride nga ana e Rusis\u00eb. Luft\u00ebra q\u00eb nuk deklarohen, k\u00ebrc\u00ebnime q\u00eb nuk mund t\u00eb trajtohen n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb individuale, luft\u00ebra q\u00eb k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb sa forcim t\u00eb siguris\u00eb kibernetike, aq edhe kufizim t\u00eb rrezikut q\u00eb vjen nga spiunazhi, dezinformacioni, lajmet e rreme, operacione si ato t\u00eb grupit Wagner etj.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00ebto k\u00ebrc\u00ebnime po shfaqen n\u00eb Ballkanin Per\u00ebndimor, sa n\u00eb veri t\u00eb Mitrovic\u00ebs dhe komunat serbe atje, aq edhe n\u00eb Mal t\u00eb Zi, Bosnje-Herzegovin\u00eb dhe gjetk\u00eb por q\u00ebllimi n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb rast \u00ebsht\u00eb t\u00eb parandalojn\u00eb r\u00ebnien e plot\u00eb t\u00eb Serbis\u00eb n\u00eb krah\u00ebt e Mosk\u00ebs sesa shp\u00ebrblimi i Republik\u00ebs s\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs q\u00eb p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebson popullsin\u00eb m\u00eb pro-amerikane, pro-NATO dhe pro-BE n\u00eb bot\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Natyrisht Kosova deri tani ka humbur dy kryeministra n\u00eb betej\u00ebn e pamundur p\u00ebr implementimin e asosacionit me kushtet fillestare: Mustaf\u00ebn dhe Haradinaj, ka dy lider\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00eb n\u00eb Hag\u00eb: Tha\u00e7in dhe Veselin pik\u00ebrisht p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb gjykat\u00ebs s\u00eb nj\u00ebanshme speciale e cila n\u00eb vetvete \u00ebhst\u00eb paradoks pasi gjykon viktim\u00ebn para se t\u00eb d\u00ebnoj\u00eb agresorin. Kurti duket tashm\u00eb i kornizuar, por forma dhe m\u00ebnyra q\u00eb gjeti p\u00ebr t\u00eb implementuar nj\u00eb vullnet politik t\u00eb caktuar, linte p\u00ebr t\u00eb d\u00ebshiruar.<\/p>\n<p>Me fjal\u00eb t\u00eb tjera, Albini mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb moralisht n\u00eb rregull, politikisht dhe elektoralisht i fort\u00eb edhe n\u00ebse jep dor\u00ebheqje apo e heqin, por rrethanat i ka kund\u00ebr, mund\u00ebsit\u00eb minimale dhe shanset p\u00ebr d\u00ebmtim t\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs q\u00eb ka arritur vet\u00ebm 10 njohje prej 2013 nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb i \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb dhe nj\u00eb fushat\u00eb e pandershme c\u2019njohjesh nga Beogradi, jan\u00eb n\u00eb rritje. Kosova mund t\u00eb rrezikoj\u00eb njohjet e m\u00ebtejshme dhe mund t\u00eb rifilloj\u00eb fushata e \u00e7\u2019njohjeve nga Beogradi, veriu mund t\u00eb humbet definitivisht, t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn Zubin Potoku, Zvecani dhe Leposavic, mund t\u00eb ngrij\u00eb me afat t\u00eb pacaktuar hyrja n\u00eb organizata nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb K\u00ebshillin e Evrop\u00ebs, mund t\u00eb pezullohen ndihmat financiare, grantet dhe huat\u00eb me kushte t\u00eb favorshme duke rrezikuar dhe fondin e ri sovran dhe parametrat makroekonomike t\u00eb shtetit, futet n\u00eb kalendat greke \u00e7\u00ebshtja e antar\u00ebsimit n\u00eb NATO dhe prospektet p\u00ebr integrim n\u00eb BE, pezullohet liberalizimi i vizave etj.<\/p>\n<p>Republik\u00ebs s\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs nuk i duhet kjo tani, por restaurimi me shpejt\u00ebsi i marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnieve me amerikan\u00ebt. Sinjalet e para jan\u00eb l\u00ebshuar nga vet\u00eb Kurti dje n\u00eb samitin e Bratislav\u00ebs ku paralajm\u00ebron se \u00ebsht\u00eb i gatsh\u00ebm t\u00eb d\u00ebgjoj\u00eb k\u00ebrkesa t\u00eb serb\u00ebve p\u00ebr zgjedhje t\u00eb p\u00ebrs\u00ebritura. Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb t\u00eb mandatuarit e tij q\u00eb gjithsesi nuk kan\u00eb aparat administrativ mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb thjesht t\u00eb d\u00ebrguar politik\u00eb, n\u00eb godina t\u00eb tjera p\u00ebr t\u00eb zbutur tensionet, t\u00eb mos t\u2019i l\u00ebn\u00eb mund\u00ebsi Vuciqit ta p\u00ebrdor\u00eb Kosov\u00ebn n\u00eb k\u00ebto momente p\u00ebr t\u00eb galvanizuar mb\u00ebshtet\u00ebsit nacionalist\u00eb n\u00eb Serbi p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbijetuar politikisht.<\/p>\n<p>Gjithashtu t\u00eb b\u00ebj nj\u00eb or\u00eb e m\u00eb par\u00eb nj\u00eb draft t\u00eb propozuar nga qeveria e Kosov\u00ebs p\u00ebr implementin e asosacionit n\u00eb nj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb q\u00eb nuk e shkel vendimin e Kushtetueses dhe n\u00eb p\u00ebrputhje me Kushtetut\u00ebn dhe integritetin territorial t\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs, gjetja e gjuh\u00ebs me partit\u00eb e opozit\u00ebs p\u00ebr t\u00eb dal\u00eb me q\u00ebndrime t\u00eb unifikuara dhe rifillimi me shpejt\u00ebsi i procesit t\u00eb dialogut. Gadishm\u00ebria e Kurtit p\u00ebr t\u2019u p\u00ebrballur me k\u00ebto procese, do e kthejn\u00eb nga nj\u00eb politikan t\u00eb suksessh\u00ebm elektoralisht n\u00eb nj\u00eb shtetar q\u00eb v\u00eb interesin e komb-shtetit t\u00eb tij, q\u00eb rrethanat aktuale gjeopolitike nuk i ka m\u00eb t\u00eb favorshmet e mundshme.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nga Ilir Kalemaj \u00c7far\u00eb dim\u00eb p\u00ebr situat\u00ebn Vuciq refuzon Marr\u00ebveshjen e Ohrit! Kurti e firmos pa entuziaz\u00ebm por pa pasur nj\u00eb pranim t\u00eb qart\u00eb t\u00eb Asosacionit dhe pa nj\u00eb plan t\u00eb qart\u00eb t\u00eb implementimit t\u00eb tij (p\u00ebrtej hedhjes se ides\u00eb p\u00ebr modelin kroat). Vuciq nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb po ballafaqohet me protestat m\u00eb t\u00eb forta n\u00eb nj\u00eb dekad\u00eb [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2037,"featured_media":295137,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[241,364,5380,231,1454,235],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-323593","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-aktualitet","8":"category-koment-opinion","9":"category-kryesore","10":"category-lajme","11":"category-politike","12":"category-vendi"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/323593","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2037"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=323593"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/323593\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":323594,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/323593\/revisions\/323594"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/295137"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=323593"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=323593"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zjarr.tv\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=323593"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}